Blog Entry

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

Posted on: February 16, 2009 1:56 am
 

PLEASE READ AND COMMENT!!!

Ok, I broke down each teams starting rotation, bullpen, infield, and outfield/DH, rating each team with either 5 points, 4, 3, 2, or 1 in compatison to the rest of the division. I figured this was the best way to break down the division. I also multiplied the teams point total from  he rotation by 2 since I believe that a teams starting roatation is the most important part of putting together a winning team.

So, without further ado, here it is.

Starting Rotation

  • 10 points- Twins- A fully healthy Liriano will be good. Look for Nick Blackburn to have the type of sophmore year John Danks had, and Perkins, Baker, and Slowey make a very nice back end of the rotation.
  • 8 points- White Sox- The front end of the rotation is as good as any in baseball, but question marks on the back end (Colon, and who will be the #5), make the rotation incomplete.
  • 8 points- Royals- This rotation has the potential and talent to be scary. It all depends on if their younger pitchers (Hochevar, Grienke) can live up to thier potential. No real #1 yet, but a strong rotation 1-5.
  • 8 points- Tigers- Verlander is too good to have another season like he had last year, Galarraga will just get better, and Edwin Jackson may have found a place wheres hes wanted. Willis and Bonderman are iffy, tho.
  • 2 points- Indians- Sure, Cliff Lee's a stud, but can Carmona throw a strike this year? Aaron Laffey looks promising, but Anthony Reyes and Carl Pavano at the back end? If only Lee could pitch every game.

Bullpen

  • 4 points- Royals- The most underrated and one of the most dominant closers in Soria, one of the best leftys in the league in Ron Mahay, but after that, its a steep fall to Kyle Farnsworth.
  • 5 points- WHite Sox- If this pen stays healthy, its the best. A lights out closer in Jenks, great setup man in Linebrink, gerat lefty in Thornton, and nice middle reliever in Dotel.
  • 4 points- Twins- Joe Nathan is lights out. After that, though, you have alot of guys who are nice, but not guysyou would consider automatic.
  • 2 points- Indians- Kerry Wood will be an upgrade, but can he stay healthy? Joe Smith was a nice pickup, and Jensen Lewis is decent.
  • 1 point- Tigers- Dont look now, Fernando Rodney just threw one over the backstop.

Infield

  • 5 points- Twins- Mauer and Morneau are elite, Casilla will continure to make strides, and Punto and Harris are just tough outs.
  • 4 points- White Sox- The Cuban Missle is great and AJ is solid behind the dish, but can Fields fill in for Crede, can Konerko (whos now completely healthy) return to his old form, and whos starting at 2nd base?
  • 3 points- Royals- Jacobs is a nice pickup that will add some pop to the order, and Mike Aviles is the most underrated player in this division, but is Alex Gordon finally going to like up to the hype? They dont have a proven 2ndbaseman now that grudz is gone, and dont have a good catcher.
  • 3 points- Indians- Mark DeRosa is solid and will finally play one position for a full year which will help his numbers. Garko is OK, but can Victor Martinez, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Johny Peralta return to their 07 forms?
  • 3 points- Tigers- Miguel Cabrera is great, but Polanco is aging, Inge is nothing but a "super-sub", and Adam Everett doesnt scare anybody. Dusty Ryan is a good young catcher who I believe will win that job.

Outfield/DH

  • 5 points- White Sox- Quentin and Dye are phenominal, and Thome is good for 30-90. Can Jerry Owens be the leadoff man they need?
  • 4 points- Royals- DeJesus and Crisp are very good, but can Mark Teahen rebound and can Billy Butler put together a good full season?
  • 4 points- Twins- Gomez will only get better, Delmon Young is solid along with Denard Span. But is Cuddyer going to contribute, and can Jason Kubel hit anyone besides the White Sox?
  • 2 points- Tigers- They continue to ruin Carlos Guillen by moivng him around. Granderson is solid but need to cut down on Ks, and Sheffield is up there in age. Ordonez is great, but needs a haircut. lol.
  • 2 points- Indians- Grady Sizemore is a star, and Ben Francisco is nice, but Choo? and Hafner, will he ever be that 40 hr threat again? .197 wont cut it.

Should be..

  1. Twins- 23pts
  2. White Sox- 22pts
  3. Royals- 19pts
  4. Tigers- 14pts
  5. Indians- 9pts

Heres my record predictions

  1. Twins 86-76...Barely edging out the Sox
  2. White Sox 85-78...considering this is a transition year, ill take this
  3. Royals 82-80...will be competitive all season
  4. Tigers 77-85...at least its an improvement
  5. Indians 74-88...that rotation just scares me other than cliff lee

Now, this division can go any way. BAseball prospectus had this division filpped over completey from what I said. This is just my opinion. All in all, it should be an interesing year.

Comments

Since: Mar 15, 2008
Posted on: July 13, 2009 12:36 pm
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

your right about the Indians. It's a open race between the Sox, Twins, and Tigers.



Since: Aug 22, 2006
Posted on: February 18, 2009 10:00 pm
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

i like the indians too much that i'm gonna have to disagree...peralta sizemore martinez derosa and with some help from hafner and francisco this offense will be good and i think their pitching is better than what you rated them...




Since: Apr 9, 2008
Posted on: February 18, 2009 3:51 pm
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

Royals 82-80??? what are you smoking dude.... question for you jackazz, what team had the HR leaders at SS, CF and C in the AL?  Mark my words... Choo will lead the AL in doubles and the Indian bullpen will be even better than 2007.  We don't need Hafner's bat... Indians ranked 7th in runs scored without Vic and Pronk.... you must be choking on the snow up in Twinkieville.... WTFU




Since: Apr 28, 2007
Posted on: February 18, 2009 10:41 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

Being a life-long Tiger fan located half way between bean town and the big apple I certainly hope your predictions aren't accurate. I haven't followed their division rivals but I think you have erred about the Tigers. I certainly believe you have under rated their OF. Thames remains a solid DH from 1 side of the plate. Their INF D should be vastly improved. Cabrera will win a handful of games by himself. Believing it would be hard for the starters or the gasloine gang in the pen to be worse I am hoping their is improvement there too. As stated earlier it will be tough to tell how the AL Central, or any other division shakes out because baseball is all about the sox and the yanks, and if you don't believe just ask the espn boys right down the street in bristol.




Since: Aug 19, 2006
Posted on: February 17, 2009 2:53 pm
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

It should also be mentioned that a report out of White Sox camp is that Jose Contreras has reported 30 pounds lighter and is 3 months ahead of schedule in rehabbing his ruptured achilles. What was suppost to be an injury that would keep him out until late july is now looking like more mid-may




Since: Mar 13, 2008
Posted on: February 17, 2009 11:02 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

VERY WELL DONE. I AGREE THIS DIVISION IS UP FOR GRABS. WHICHEVER TEAM GETS IN. IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE. BUT IT SHOULD BE A FUN RACE TO WATCH.




Since: Feb 17, 2009
Posted on: February 17, 2009 10:09 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

A lot of thought, but wavering on a homer's predictions.  I'll give you that the division should be wideopen, but putting the Tribe's outfield as last in the division isn't close.  Sizemore is a stud and Francisco will show more this season.  I would take these 2 over most of the rest of the division.  Hafner, I will admit needs to be much more productive at DH and Clevelands pitching staff can go either way.  How has Detroit fell so bad from this time last year?  You give Verlander the benefit of the doubt saying he couldn't be that bad again...but then ask if Martinez and Peralta can return to '07 forms?  Cabrera, I doubt it.




Since: Mar 29, 2008
Posted on: February 17, 2009 1:40 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

I really, really, really hope you are right about the Twins pitching staff.  We could use one more starter to eat up innings, a reliable set-up man and a DH who could hit for power.  I suppose that's what every other team wants as well.  Go Twins.




Since: Nov 24, 2006
Posted on: February 17, 2009 12:50 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

Great job BSB06. I think you are right about almost everything except for the White Sox outfield and Tigers outfield. Other than Quentin, whose defense is suspect, I am worried about offensive productivity. Don't forget Dye fell off the face of the earth in September when we needed him most and perhaps all of the trade talk surrounding him in the winter won't help. I love Brian Anderson's defense in CF but can he hit everyday? And Jerry Owens, he couldn't even make the roster last year when CF was our biggest hole offensively.

On the other had, Granderson is still a solid leadoff hitter with some pop and Mags (as much as I can't stand him anymore) is as consistent as anyone.




Since: Feb 12, 2009
Posted on: February 17, 2009 12:22 am
 

My Comprehensive Predictions for the AL Central

I'd still have the Royals be at the bottom of the barrel.  The Tigers still have a good solid offense, the offense is enough to get them over their reliever hurdles more nights than not.  Sure they stumbled, but I look for them to move back into contention than falling into complete disaster.

I see the Indians bolstering the rotation.  Plus I see Cliff Lee getting better this year. 

But you put a well thought out plan into your formula.  And who knows, you could be spot on and I could just be completely wrong.



The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com